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What is an interactive decision simulation
and how can it help us?
When people think of simulations they often think of a computer game that allows you to fly an F-16 or drive at the Indianapolis 500. Simulations are usually identified with recreational games. For government agencies or business enterprises they are a time tested approach to teaching and evaluating knowledge and skills as well as testing processes or procedures.. In the age of disaster awareness everyone claims to have some type of emergency preparedness plan or crisis management process. The questions that often go unasked are “What evaluation have you done of your plan” and “ Have you ever actually tried to use the plan.” The reason plans and process are never evaluated or employed is they are too expensive and complicated to simulate using the real world participants and equipment.

Interactive decision simulations (IDS) are designed to bridge the gap between theory, intent and practical application. Interactive means the participants will be working with one another and responding to information and processes in the simulation. Decision means they will exercise decision making within the context of the specific scenario that the exercise is simulating. The IDS approach is a simple system which allows for a clear appraisal of a plan or procedure’s practicality and effectiveness while evaluating the understating and ability of the persons responsible for employing the plan.

Let us explain how this works. First LECMgt analyzes a plan, practice or procedure. This is used to develop a model of your particular plan or process. Once a model has been developed a simulation can be designed to test or evaluate that model. The simulation is used to manipulate the model in some way to understand the real world process or procedure.

Here is a simple example. To test the readiness of a body of public officials in critical decision making LECMgt designed a model that incorporated the official’s checklist of emergency tasks. This checklist represented the actions and procedures that each individual official was expected to follow in an emergency. The model included a list for each official and department with an hourly timetable that limited the number of actions each official could be expected to accomplish. Many of the tasks required assistance or cooperation from other decision makers.

A simulation was designed using a disaster scenario and requiring each official to declare what actions they would take each hour and negotiate amongst themselves to accomplish the tasks as a group. The simulation was designed so that by cooperating and prioritizing the various list of actions the entire group of tasks could be accomplished in a set period of time. The officials were given a prescribed period of decision time to select what actions should be taken. At the end of each decision period the group had to announce what actions they had taken. The simulation was further complicated with details of a dynamic and dangerous critical incident (major hazardous materials spill) that required constant re-evaluation of what response was required.

The simulation was run with the actual decision makers. The results revealed several issues: the officials were unclear as to their responsibilities during an emergency, this uncertainty prevented task prioritization and slowed decision making, and finally they were unprepared to accomplish their responsibilities as a decision making body during a major disaster. At the end of the simulation the participants had clearly tested their emergency action plan and evaluated their ability to employ the plan.

The LECMgt interactive decision simulation can help your agency or business to evaluate your emergency preparedness planning or crisis management procedures and test the ability of your team to use the plan. It can also be designed to evaluate specific problems in developing new operational plans. This system is much less expensive than conventional functional exercises and can be repeated for a fraction of the effort. This maybe the only way you can practically evaluate the true capabilities of your planning and preparedness.

 

For additional information please contact:

LECMgt
Dr. Roger Mason
Tel: (818) 693-1668
Fax: (818) 886-2747
info@lecmgt.com

IAEM

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